Week 8 NFL Picks

What seems to be happening here is I'm starting to hit on some games, but I get overzealous on maybe 1 or 2 a week and those happen to be the ones I lose. I've got to stay consistent with my bets to stop getting burnt. Lot of season left and lots of time to make some money.... On we go.

(Thursday 10/24)
Carolina -5.5 @ Tampa Bay - 28 to win 25

(Sunday 10/29)
Kansas City -7 vs. Cleveland - 29 to win 25
Green Bay -10 @ Minnesota - 28 to win 25
Denver -13 vs. Washington - 28 to win 25

(Monday 10/30)
Seattle -10 @ St. Louis - 30 to win 25


Teaser

Pittsburgh +7.5
NY Jets +16.5   -   30 to win 25
Philadelphia +5


Parlay

Denver -11.5
Green Bay -10    -    25 to win 150
Seattle -11



Season Record: 9-13
O/U: 1-1
Teaser: 0-2
Parlay: 1-1
Bottom Line: -482

CFB Week 9 Picks

Rice -17.5 - 110 to win 100

O/U

UAB/UTSA o59.5 - 55 to win 50
NW/IOWA u53 - 55 to win 50
TROY/WKY o61 - 55 to win 50
SC/MIZZ o52.5 - 55 to win 50
BAY/KAN o66 - 110 to win 100


Season Record: 5-5
O/U: 2-1
Teaser: 0-2
Parlay: 0-2
Bottom Line: -66

Week 8 Action

NFL

Straight

• NYG/DAL
• Over 47.5
• 28 to win 25  (W)
• SF/ARI
• Under 38
• 28 to win 25  (W)
• MIA/NYJ
• Under 38.5
• 28 to win 25  (L)

Parlay

• NYG -1 (at DAL), NE -6.5 (in London playing STL), NO +6 (at DEN)
• 25 to win 150  (L)

College

Teaser

• USC +3.5, Ohio St. +9, Florida/Georgia Under 56
• 30 to win 25 (W)

Why Not Picks (SportsBook.com)

Playing the sports lottery, well, all of them except the first one... Oh and these do NOT count against my season record, strictly fun and insane picks that will never hopefully all hit. These are usually all $10 or under

• Teaser: OAK +12 (at KC), NO +16 (at DEN), SEA +13 (at DET)
• 5 to win 4.17 (Hit the wrong button, complete mistake but I'll take the 4.17 if it hits)

• Parlay: MIN -6.5 (vs TB), NYG -1.5 (at DAL), NE -7 ("at" STL), NO +6 (at DEN)
• 5 to win 64.58

• Parlay: SF (at ARZ), MIN (vs TB), SD (at CLE), ATL (at PHI), NYG -1.5 (at DAL), NE ("at" STL), OAK (at KC), PIT (vs WAS), NO +6 (at DEN)
• 5 to win 485.41

• Parlay: Nebraska -2.5 (vs Michigan), Wisconsin -6 (vs Mich. St.), Alabama -24 (vs Miss. St.), Oklahoma -10 (vs ND), S.Carolina -14 (vs Tennessee), Kansas St. -7 (vs Texas Tech)
• 10 to win 464.10

• Parlay: MIA (at NYJ), ATL (at PHI), NYG -2.5 (at DAL), NO (at DEN), SEA (at DET)
• 5 to win 298.57 

Week 1: +50
Week 2: -1 (+49)
Week 3: +199 (+248)
Week 4: +140 (+388)
Week 5: -530 (-142)
Week 6: -99 (-241)
Week 7: +108 (-133)


2012
NFL: 15-16 (-18)
CFB: 3-4 (-115)

Week 7 Action

So last week wasn't a total failure, but it wasn't pretty. The NFL bets look absolutely atrocious at 2-5, but were extremely close to hitting outside of a couple freak plays that didn't let it happen. I can live with that, it's not like they were blowouts (outside of the Indy game).

I was dead on with the Bills all day, and the Ravens as well. Then the Ravens blew their lead and my parlay by winning by 2 instead of 3. That's actually Dez Bryant's fault, he dropped a would-be 2 point conversion to tie the game and send it to OT where Baltimore easily could've won by 3 or more and gotten me points. Instead they win by 2 points and I lose my parlay with Buffalo.

Notre Dame cost me a big payout by pushing ATS when they beat Stanford by 7 points. I'm grateful they pushed instead of lost obviously, but that push instead of a W there cost me $80 off the payout.

My most confident play was the teaser that included the Giants, Bills and Vikings. The Vikings failed to show up and then collapsed late in the game when Washington and RGIII opened up a big lead. I needed them to cover 8.5 points and they got it to within 12. With 30 seconds left, they were knocking on the goal line and Christian Ponder threw a blind rainbow into the end-zone where there were absolutely zero Vikings and it was picked off. A garbage time touchdown there wins me $100. Instead it cost me $120. That was the one play that absolutely buried me this past weekend. Live to fight another day.... On we go..

Week 1: +50
Week 2: -1 (+49)
Week 3: +199 (+248)
Week 4: +140 (+388)
Week 5: -530 (-142)
Week 6: -99 (-241)




College Football

Teaser

• Clemson +2 (vs Virginia Tech), TCU +12 (vs Texas Tech), Florida +6 (vs South Carolina)     30 to win 25  (W)
• BYU +23 (at Notre Dame), Ohio State -9 (vs Purdue), Louisville +4.5 (vs South Florida)     30 to win 25   (L)

NFL

Straight

• Seattle +270    25 to win 68   (L)

Parlay

• Seattle +7 (at SF), Dallas -1.5 (at Carolina), New Orleans -2.5 (at Tampa Bay)   25 to win 146 63  (W)

(SEA pushed, becomes 2-team parlay)


Teaser

• Seattle +17, Dallas +8.5, New Orleans +7    60 to win 50   (W)

Over/Under

• Seattle at San Francisco - Under 37.5    28 to win 25   (W)

SPORTSBOOK

Here are a couple off the wall plays I went half on with TSB Co-Cap TPW Mike - here they are:

Parlay

• Cleveland +2, Dallas -2.5, Detroit +6.5, Baltimore +6.5, Seattle +8, Seattle/SF U 37.5     2.50 to win 187.50    (L)
• Dallas -2.5, Detroit +6.5, Baltimore +6.5, New Orleans -2, Seattle +8    20 to win 500  (L)

Teaser

• Detroit +16.5, Baltimore +16.5, Seattle +18         40 to win 33.33 (L)

DAMN YOU BALTIMORE!!!!

Week 6 Action

I think the only thing to do after an epic losing weekend, is to get right back on the horse and go back after it. This is after a full 36 hours of being able to clear my head and make more rational decisions. I'm going to stay small this week and grind out a decent weekend...

Week 1: +50
Week 2: -1 (+49)
Week 3: +199 (+248)
Week 4: +140 (+388)
Week 5: -530 (-142)

Last week wouldn't have been as bad if I didn't make a monster addition to a decent bet I already had on the Texans, but like any knee-jerk reaction to a losing Sunday, the add on Monday didn't work out. So after a real nice couple of weeks I'm back to the start, time to grind it back out and get myself into the green.


College Football

Teasers

(L) Michigan State PK (vs Iowa), Florida +1.5 (at Vanderbilt), Kansas State +3.5 (at Iowa State)    30 to win 25
(W) Notre Dame PK (vs Stanford), Washington +21 (vs USC)    33 to win 25

Parlays

(W) Florida -9 (at Vanderbilt), Notre Dame -7 (vs Stanford), Boise State -7 (vs Fresno State)   25 to win 145
ND pushed - total win = 65


NFL

Straight

(L) Indianapolis +160 (at NYJ)    25 to win 40

Teasers

(W) Baltimore +3.5 (vs Dallas), Green Bay +10.5 (at Houston)    33 to win 25
(L) Pittsburgh +1.5 (at Tennessee), Atlanta -2 (vs Raiders)        33 to win 25
(W) Pittsburgh +4.5 (at Tennessee), Baltimore +6.5 (vs Dallas), New England +6.5 (at Seattle)     60 to win 50
(L) Kansas City +13.5 (at Tampa Bay), Atlanta +1 (vs Raiders), Buffalo +14.5 (at Arizona)         30 to win 25
(L) Buffalo +14.5 (at Arizona), Minnesota +8.5 (at Washington), NY Giants +17 (at San Francisco)      120 to win 100

Thanks Ponder. Nice throw.


Parlays

(L) Baltimore -3 (vs Dallas), Buffalo +4.5 (at Arizona)    25 to win 59

Are you kidding me Baltimore? Won by 2?

Season Record
NFL: 10-10 (+28)
CFB: 0-2 (-170)